Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#175
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#172
Pace66.9#208
Improvement+4.1#39

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#67
First Shot+3.7#71
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#148
Layup/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#36
Freethrows+2.8#32
Improvement+3.0#42

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#292
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#321
Layups/Dunks+1.6#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#349
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement+1.1#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four18.0% n/a n/a
First Round92.3% n/a n/a
Second Round2.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 57   @ California L 53-82 13%     0 - 1 -17.0 -11.4 -4.6
  Nov 14, 2016 143   @ UC Irvine L 58-73 34%     0 - 2 -11.3 -8.3 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2016 140   @ Wyoming L 67-77 34%     0 - 3 -6.1 +0.8 -7.4
  Nov 21, 2016 221   @ Idaho L 89-96 OT 53%     0 - 4 -8.3 +9.4 -17.2
  Nov 25, 2016 143   UC Irvine L 52-63 44%     0 - 5 -9.8 -16.0 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2016 69   East Tennessee St. L 59-71 21%     0 - 6 -4.1 -5.8 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-58 69%     1 - 6 +17.6 +19.0 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2016 224   UMKC W 77-68 72%     2 - 6 +2.5 +2.7 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2016 153   @ Northern Iowa L 58-86 37%     2 - 7 -24.9 +1.2 -30.5
  Dec 10, 2016 221   Idaho W 80-77 72%     3 - 7 -3.3 +11.2 -14.3
  Dec 17, 2016 202   Murray St. W 88-84 OT 66%     4 - 7 -0.8 +4.7 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2016 255   @ Drake W 83-75 60%     5 - 7 +5.1 +6.2 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2016 9   @ Wichita St. L 67-89 3%     5 - 8 -0.9 +7.6 -9.7
  Dec 28, 2016 167   North Dakota St. L 69-80 58%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -13.5 -1.8 -12.3
  Dec 31, 2016 145   South Dakota W 73-72 54%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -0.4 +2.3 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2017 296   @ Western Illinois L 74-82 71%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -14.2 +1.4 -15.8
  Jan 07, 2017 169   Nebraska Omaha L 93-101 59%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -10.6 +3.2 -12.7
  Jan 12, 2017 234   @ Oral Roberts L 88-94 56%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -8.1 +11.6 -19.7
  Jan 18, 2017 205   @ IUPUI L 83-85 OT 50%     6 - 13 1 - 5 -2.3 +5.3 -7.5
  Jan 21, 2017 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-67 54%     7 - 13 2 - 5 +8.5 +9.9 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2017 194   @ Denver L 82-91 45%     7 - 14 2 - 6 -8.1 +15.2 -24.2
  Jan 28, 2017 169   @ Nebraska Omaha W 88-84 39%     8 - 14 3 - 6 +6.5 +5.3 +0.8
  Feb 01, 2017 296   Western Illinois W 98-65 84%     9 - 14 4 - 6 +21.8 +22.0 +0.2
  Feb 04, 2017 234   Oral Roberts W 74-67 74%     10 - 14 5 - 6 -0.1 -3.2 +3.2
  Feb 08, 2017 167   @ North Dakota St. L 65-82 39%     10 - 15 5 - 7 -14.5 -5.9 -8.8
  Feb 11, 2017 145   @ South Dakota L 89-91 35%     10 - 16 5 - 8 +1.7 +22.9 -21.3
  Feb 15, 2017 205   IUPUI W 81-67 68%     11 - 16 6 - 8 +8.6 +3.8 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2017 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 97-89 35%     12 - 16 7 - 8 +11.6 +16.5 -5.5
  Feb 25, 2017 194   Denver W 88-64 64%     13 - 16 8 - 8 +19.8 +16.1 +5.1
  Mar 05, 2017 194   Denver W 83-73 55%     14 - 16 +8.3 +6.2 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2017 145   South Dakota W 74-71 44%     15 - 16 +4.1 +4.3 -0.1
  Mar 07, 2017 169   Nebraska Omaha W 79-77 49%     16 - 16 +1.9 +4.5 -2.5
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.6 0.2 39.8 60.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.2 39.8 60.0